Melbourne Cup Tips - Expert predictions from our tipsters

  • Expert predictions for the Melbourne Cup
  • Our tipsters give their tips for the big race
Melbourne Cup

Who will win the 2016 Melbourne Cup (3200m)? The tipsters give their verdicts on who they think will triumph at Flemington on November 1.

Jameka and Hartnell heading the contenders for the race that stops a nation? Will they add their name to the honour roll? Will we see another roughie upset? Or will an international come out on top this year?

The tipsters give their verdicts below:

Aaron Hamilton

Trainer Ciaron Maher has got this mare in top form and her Caulfield Cup win was very authoritative. She’ll have to set a weight carrying record for a four-year-old mare, but with 54.5kg in the Cup, she will be very competitive. On breeding, you wouldn’t think the daughter of Myboycharlie would be suited over two miles but I had the same concerns when she won the Crown Oaks as a three-year-old and she certainly proved me wrong. She’ll make her own luck from up near the speed, and considering she overraced in the Caulfield Cup and still won by a space, she can get the trip and join some greats of the turf by claiming the Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup double.

Ric Chapman

This may be a particularly strong Cup this year, so the pace will really be on from the 800m home. That means only the strong will survive. BIG ORANGE carried 61kg in a Group 2 in England last start at Goodwood and won as he pleased over 3219m. That makes him strong. I’ve been to Goodwood. It’s about the most genuine, well created course I’ve seen in the world. Every horse has its chance as the course wends and winds...but importantly, ONLY the best come out on top. This, Big Orange, therefore, is a serious stayer.

Adam Cusworth

After backing Jameka in the Caulfield Cup (2400m), I can't see any reason but to stick with her in the race that stops the nation. While the Melbourne Cup (3200m) is a different proposition, given that she meets a new batch of internationals as well as Hartnell this time around, the way she finished off the race at Caulfield suggests she will appreciate the two miles. There are too many unknowns to confidently consider any of the foreign raiders, while she will have to make up a few lengths to topple Hartnell, who took out the Turnbull Stakes (2000m) ahead of her the last time they met. Jameka takes the more conventional path and with the extra week in between runs, she may just have the fresher legs to defeat the Godolphin contender. She has reportedly improved since her triumph in that key lead up and with any luck in running, she can be the one at the $6.50 quote. 

Gary Emmerson

This could be the year of the internationals. They're a talented bunch and the one who creeps under the radar a little is Big Orange. I'd much prefer him to have had a prep run in Australia - internationals who have ran Down Under before the Melbourne Cup have a much better record - but he ran well enough in last year's race when fifth. That experience will have done him no harm and the five-year-old has been saved for the Melbourne Cup this time around. He's not run since impressively winning the Goodwood Cup over two miles for the second year running (last year he flopped at York between his Goodwood win and Melbourne Cup run) and he looks a value runner. 

Steve Bennett

It’s a European Cup. Experience, endurance and preparation usually wins top class staying races and the Melbourne Cup is a glowing example. I believe the Internationals have it all over the locals this year and I am leaning towards the youngest of the visitors and choosing Bondi Beach to take the cup home. His preparation has been faultless this year and after 10 career starts, his only unplaced run was in this race last year, as an inexperienced four-year-old. He is fitter now and much more mature and he’s had a preparation similar to that of the 2014 winner, Protectionist. He’ll be carrying far less weight than he has been carrying and has won on all track surfaces. He also boasts a victory over his stablemate, Order Of St.George who was the early favourite for the Cup. So it’s Bondi Beach for me, to beat Wicklow Brave and Big Orange.

Trent Orwin

Hartnell has had an excellent spring campaign despite being no match for champion mare Winx. Won’t meet her in the Melbourne Cup and we know he runs out the 3200m. He put Jameka away with ease in the Turnbull Stakes and there’s no reason for me to side against him. I like his stablemate Secret Number as an outside chance; he had form around former Dubai World Cup winner and stablemate Prince Bishop who defeated California Chrome in 2015.

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Melbourne Cup Tips - Expert predictions from our tipsters

Who will win the 2016 Melbourne Cup (3200m)? The tipsters give their verdicts on who they think will triumph at Flemington on November 1.

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